Anticipatory preparedness
01 · Powered by Shelter
Anticipatory emergency preparedness
Households get aid before the impact, or as soon as it hits
Aid arrives before or immediately after a disaster
Anticipatory preparedness
The problem
Today, aid arrives weeks after the disaster.
Anticipatory preparedness changes when aid arrives: before the impact, or immediately after it.
Anticipatory preparedness
What it is
A digital twin anticipates the impact. Shelter delivers the aid.
01
Digital twin + AI
They estimate the hazard's impact in each district.
02
Threshold + a person
An agreed threshold and a human validation trigger the aid.
03
Shelter
Cash or vouchers by SMS to households registered in advance.
Anticipatory preparedness
In plain words
What is a digital twin?
A living digital replica of a territory: a map of its districts, where people live, the roads, schools and health centres, the rivers and the infrastructure. It is kept up to date with data and lets you ask “what if…?” before it happens.
What the replica contains
- Districts and where people live
- Roads
- Schools and health centres
- Rivers and basins
- Infrastructure and services
Exposed districts
Illustrative sketch, not a real place.
Anticipatory preparedness
In plain words
A replica that stays up to date
What keeps it up to date
- Weather forecasts
- Satellite images
- Sensors
- Past events
The key question
What happens if twice the usual rain falls this week?
With that data, artificial intelligence (AI) models estimate the likely impact in each district: which areas may flood or dry out, and how many registered households would be exposed.
Anticipatory preparedness
How it works
Four steps, from alert to verification
01
Anticipate
The digital twin models floods, droughts or frost and prioritizes exposed districts.
02
Decide
The threshold is defined with local actors; a person validates it before each delivery.
03
Distribute
Cash or vouchers by SMS to basic phones, with no internet needed.
04
Verify
Every activation and delivery is recorded on-chain (on a blockchain, a registry that cannot be altered without leaving a trace).
Anticipatory preparedness
Illustrative example
A flood, in four moments
Imagine the forecast announces heavy rain for the coming days. This is an illustrative example: it does not describe a real case and uses no real figures.
01
Rain forecast
02
Threshold crossed and validated
03
Aid on the phone
04
The rain arrives
Illustrative example: no real names, places or figures.
Anticipatory preparedness
Illustrative example
What happens at each moment
- 01
Anticipate
The twin crosses the rain forecast with the map and estimates which districts may flood and how many registered households live there.
- 02
Decide
The forecast crosses the threshold agreed with local authorities. A person on the responsible team reviews the data and approves the activation.
- 03
Distribute
Shelter sends cash or vouchers by SMS to those households before the water arrives, so they can prepare.
- 04
Verify
Every activation and every payment is recorded, so donors and auditors can review them.
Illustrative example: no real names, places or figures.
Anticipatory preparedness
What it adds
Acting early changes the outcome
- 01
Households get aid before the impact, or as soon as it hits
- 02
Fewer lost assets and livelihoods
- 03
Traceable, auditable decisions, with Shelter delivering the aid
Anticipatory preparedness
Powered by Shelter
Delivery runs on Shelter
Reaches anyone
No bank account, no smartphone, no internet: an SMS wallet on any basic phone
Real-time visibility
Every delivery is recorded instantly: how much, where, when and the status of each disbursement
Shelter figures
- Beneficiaries reached
- 1,185+
- Distributed in aid
- USD 15,000+
- Deliveries completed
- 100%
- Cost per on-chain transaction
- ~0.01 USD
Across Shelter field pilots, 2024–2026. Includes the Nairobi 2026 pilot, whose results are not yet published.
Anticipatory preparedness
Who it is for and status
Who it is for and what stage it is at
Who it is for
- Governments and civil protection
- United Nations agencies
- Adaptation and climate-risk funds
Status and route
In developmentDigital twins in development for utilities and smart cities; distribution proven in Shelter pilots; planned regional route through Peru, the Dominican Republic and El Salvador.
Anticipatory preparedness
Why Xcapit
A team with a track record and certified security
- Founded
- 2018
- Xcapit is certified for information security management (IRAM / IQNet).
- ISO/IEC 27001
Entities: Xcapit INC (USA) · CryptoLab S.A.S. (Argentina) · Xcapit SAC (Peru)
Anticipatory preparedness
Let's talk about getting there before, or right after.
Each solution can start with a focused pilot in one country and grow on the same infrastructure.
Or write to hola@xcapit.com
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